A Sell Signal for the Stock Market?
by Michael Kahn
Tuesday, July 19, 2011
provided byTuesday, July 19, 2011
A big drop in the transportation sector killed hope for a Dow Theory buy signal.
But within a few days, the good times turned to bad as this economically-sensitive sector crumbled.
On Monday, the Dow Jones Industrial Average lost 94 points, though the index was trading even lower earlier in the day.
The bears have apparently resumed control of the stock market and that keeps the market on track to challenge its previous 2011 lows one more time.
When the transports reached their new high recently, followers of the century-old Dow Theory suddenly got excited. The theory states that a major new high in both the Dow Industrials and the Dow Transports means the market is in sync and ready to move even higher.
Of course, the composition of the industrials index has changed drastically and we can argue that truckers and railroads have less to do with transporting products in a service and information-based economy than in the past. But even with such changes, Dow Theory has still been able to keep investors on the proper side of the market for many years.